Last Monday, Frank Schubert, Minnesota for Marriage’s campaign manager and NOM associate, appeared on the radio show of Brad Brandon (who has gotten $3,000 from Minnesota for Marriage). Schubert gave his take on how Minnesota will vote on the anti-gay amendment on the ballot in 2012.

Brandon asked Schubert about the potential outcome in November in light of California passing Prop 8 in 2008.

Brad Brandon: I think California inspires us in Minnesota because Minnesota is a blue state. I think California inspires us here in Minnesota — if California can do it, Minnesota can certainly do it.

Schubert: Well, Minnesota certainly can, but Minnesota politically is really more of a purple state than it is a blue state. I mean, certainly at the top of the ticket presidential-wise has voted for Democrats for long while now. But very, very close races in other contexts. For governor for example, U.S. Senate. A noted recall that took what 6 months. They may still be counting votes I don’t know [laughs].

But socially, from an issue context, Minnesota is very much of a strong Midwestern values kind of a state. Our poll that we — I’ve been working on marriage since 2010 in Minnesota. I started doing some work with the National Organization for Marriage in the 2010 elections frankly because we were concerned that if the elections went the wrong way we might have a Democratic governor and Democratic legislature trying to redefine marriage and we’d have to try and block that in the legislature.

That was our fundamental concern at the time. And then of course the elections turned in such a way that we had incredible opportunity for us to go on offense and put a marriage amendment on the ballot so the people of this state have the opportunity to be heard. And that’s fundamentally what is going to happen here in November.

But throughout all that time, numerous state-wide surveys, focus groups, one-on-one conversations, all the work that we’ve done, we haven’t seen much change at all. People strongly support marriage. Our polling has shown that this race is in the 56 percent range for us.

Now, what does that mean? Does that mean we are destined to win? No, it certainly doesn’t mean we are destined to win. But it does mean we are starting from a position of strength that people agree with us at their core level. Now, as a christian, that’s something special, that God created marriage and it turns out that he actually knows what he is doing.